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04/16/25 01:08 PM #18126    

 

Jay Shackford

Odds and Ends

 

  • Americans chose Modelo over Bud Light as their #1 favorite beer.  Now tariffs will make Americans pay more for the beer of their choice. 
  • China accounted for nearly 90% of U.S. sorghum exports last year

          today it’s zero.  Here come the bailouts for the farmers.  

  • Marjorie Taylor Green bought $315,000 of stock 4 hours before Trump announces his tariff pause.  She had been at the White House that morning for a few hours before the maga king’s tweet “time to buy!” 
  • Market dropping 150-250 points a day now. 
  • Eggs are $8 a dozen.
  • Coffee is all time high. But, as Trump promised during the campaign, prices are dropping.  
  • Cabinet members have replaced their USA FLAG lapel pins with a golden head of their boss. But it’s not a cult.  
  • “Let those peasants in the U.S. wail before the 5,000 years of Chinese civilization,” Xi said, commandeering the term JD Vance used earlier this month when he referred to “Chinese peasants.”
  • It’s been over 2 weeks since “Liberation Maga Day.”
  • Not one foreign country has negotiated a tariff deal with the White House. 
  •     Trump has 74 days left of his “pause” to make 75 deals. 
  •     Side note - 32 of those 74 remaining days he’s playing golf. 
  • After last night’s town hall meeting in Iowa with Sen. Grassley, Republicans  still on the Hill are hiding out in the same janitor’s closet where Sen.Ted Cruz found refuge during the January 6 insurrection on Capitol Hill.  

04/16/25 09:11 PM #18127    

 

Stephen Hatchett

The US certainly seems to have a "homegrown criminal" in the White House. And in his case, unlike Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia,  he HAS been convicted of (many) crimes. Getting elected president though was the ultimate "Get Out of Jail Free" card.  History may have to do the accounting.


04/17/25 09:49 AM #18128    

 

Jack Mallory


In the early 80s I often worked and travelled in Central America—Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua. I was occasionally accosted by camouflaged military, armed with M16s. At gun point they would question me about what I was doing, where I was going . . . I was often on a dirt road, far from anywhere with no effective protection other than my U.S. passport. I knew I could be easily “disappeared” as locals sometimes were. 

After being released, I would reflect on my luck in being an American citizen, without fear of such treatment at home.

That protection is rapidly disappearing, as people are pulled off the streets without due process. The deputy director of the FBI labels me and those with politics like mine as “scumbag commie libs.” The President says, “The homegrowns are next, the homegrowns.”

I’m white, middle class, educated, privileged in many ways. Other than my political beliefs, I’m better protected than most against government oppression.  

My question, to myself and those like me—for how long will we rely on our privilege while others suffer? And how long will it be before we'll be pulled off the street because our beliefs offend those in power?


04/17/25 09:55 AM #18129    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Stephen, I agree with you totally. What a double standard for the Trump Administration to be persecuting many people calling them criminals who have no record of crime, and doing so with no due process. He has had a chance to defend himself in court and has been charged with criminal acts. You are so right that becoming President was his "get out of jail free" card. I am taking heart now that Universities are joining together in one big pact like NATO, saying that if one of them are attacked its an attack on all of them...The Governor of Maine when told she had to no longer allow the two transgender students to compete in sports, said "see you in court." Then I am heartened about Harvard refusing to get rid of their inclusion policies. The more lawyers, Universities, governors, etc fight back, the best chance we have in our struggle to bring back Democracy. Trump is single handedly tanking our economy and the World economy and pushing fascist policies.

Jack, I agree with your post...It reminds me of that saying by the German Pastor Martin Niemoller, "First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out-because I was not a socialist. Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out-because I was not a trade unionist.Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out-because I was not a Jew. Then they came for me- and there was no one left to speak for me...Love, Joanie


04/17/25 03:59 PM #18130    

 

Nora Skinker (Morton)

Silence is speculative, Joan. Perhaps forum friends (who remain steadfastly grateful that Harris failed to secure the presidency) wait to see what ultimate changes will result from this politically brave, transparent & bold administration. Hard to believe, but it hasn't even been 90 days. 
Meanwhile, echo on, dear hearts! 

 

 


04/17/25 04:57 PM #18131    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

1. Nori, is it a bold brave administration to send immigrants away, many who have not committed any crime, WITHOUT DUE PROCESS, that is a bedrock principle of our Democracy and Constitution Nori. Or is it a cruel lawless administration? This is not a democratic position versus the maga one...this is the LAW that Trump has violated.

2. Is it bold and brave to put in so many broad tarrifs Nori, that the whole World Economy is tanking and the US Economy is heading towards a recession...this is not the way to bring manufacturing back to America. We have spent years establishing a beautiful trade arrangement with other countries that benefits our economy and theirs...Are you now in favor of what this is doing to farmers and small businessmen and federal workers that are essential like air traffic controllers, food safety people, terrorism experts. Its it bold to get rid of them and NIH people who are trying to find cures for cancer that could affect us all. Is that a bold thing you like? What about USAID workers that help people in the world starving and dying of AIDS..Is this a brave bold Administration to get rid of those folks.

3. Is it bold and brave to attack Universities that embrace diversity and try to gut the Museum of African History and take away all history that shows past oppression of some folks. Is it brave and bold to ban authors such as books by the great Maya Angelo. Remember that famous saying that those who do not heed the lessons of history (like the Holocaust) are condemned to repeat them.

4. Is it bold to fire everyone who has ever disagreed with Trump and try to crush law firms that were liberal thinking...Our country is based on FREEDOM...This isn't supposed to be a country run by King Trump and his co President Musk to get rid of free press...the AP were cut out of the pressroom..Trump is trying to get rid of all opposition and trying to get Universities to follow his anti diversity moves by taking away grant money. Good for Harvard and others who are not going to take it. By the way Trump does not have the power of the purse..so his tarrifs are illegal.

I'm sorry you are not realizing the danger that is going on. You are a creative person and surely know about freedom of expression as an actress. Our freedoms across the board in this country are being attracked by a lawless President who admitted he wanted to be a King. Maybe you just didn't think it over that this not good. Love, Joanie

 


04/17/25 07:11 PM #18132    

 

Nora Skinker (Morton)

You make my point exactly, Joanie. Politically, VERY brave & bold. Would I attack each issue 'head on' the way Trump has so far? Probably not. But a mere 2% of Trump voters suffer voters' remorse; he often predicted tough economic times before strong ones, tariffs to even a lopsided playing field (trade-wise), protections of biological women in sports, a much needed accounting of wasteful spending, an end to government checks sent to ineligibles, the issue of voter IDs, a secure border (curbing the scourge of fentynol & human trafficking), the deportation of illegal immigrants & criminals, an end to policies allowing antisemitism on college campuses, deportation of campus activists who, being educated here, advocate for terrorist organizations, etc. As for due process, I have faith in our judiciary to sort it out. Biden allowed millions in, Obama deported many & did the J's yell "due process"? If so, I can't recall. I was under the impression that due process was a right given to American citizens. 
Economically, we Americans have been living far beyond our means & in doing so, have spent & borrowed to a deficit of close to FORTY TRILLION dollars! Go ahead & criticize Trump royally. But what ideas do YOU have to save our economy? At home, when we overspend, we suffer to get back on our feet. Why is that ok, but suffering as a country is not? The real question becomes whether our citizenry can withstand the suffering before our economy benefits from it. 


04/17/25 09:45 PM #18133    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Due process isn't about letting immigrants in as you said Biden did. It's about when accused of a crime each person deserves a chance to defend themselves and not be taken away with no due process and thrown in the worst prison in El Salvador while throwing away the key. The Trump admin admitted Garcia was sent out in error. As for the economy, there are no top economists that say this will end well. Also the courts, whether you like their rulings or not are part of our way of government. You don't get to decide which judges you like. That is what dictatorial governments do.  Many Trump voters are screaming at their congressperson to do something. Nori, Trump ran on a lie that he would bring down prices on day one.  It's a real tragedy that Harris didn't win. .Biden left Trump a soaring economy that was heading for a soft landing and Trump destroyed that and is pushing us toward a recession.  Love, Joanie


04/17/25 10:22 PM #18134    

 

Nora Skinker (Morton)

I understand, Joanie. But, like it or not, the American people spoke last November, knowing fully about tariffs, the border & just about everything Trump offered. I pray our economy will be strong enough to survive but many of us felt that, though our accounts were fatter, we were doomed to fail down the road. Like I said, we spent & borrowed ourselves into debt to the point where stocks & assets were highly over valued. We can hope together that deals are made with our alliances as well as our competitors through tariff negotiations & the allure of American enterprise, manufacturing & ingenuity.  If it moves in that direction, we should see a domestic & international strengthening of confidence sooner rather than later. 
And finally, the courts should & WILL have the final word about due process. JMO

 


04/18/25 06:07 AM #18135    

 

Jack Mallory

Nori says, "I was under the impression that due process was a right given to American citizens."

The guarantee of “due process” in the U.S. Constitution applies to all persons in the United States, not just U.S. citizens.This protection is found in two main places:

Fifth Amendment (applies to the federal government)
Fourteenth Amendment (applies to state governments)

The key phrase in both is “any person,” which courts have consistently interpreted to include non-citizens, including undocumented immigrants, permanent residents, and foreign nationals present in the U.S.

Regardless of citizenship, everyone in the U.S. is entitled to due process under the law. That's one thing that makes America great, when the Constitution is respected. 
 

Actually, those familiar with basic Enlightenment philosophy from 300 years ago (see Hobbes, Locke, Paine) understand that the rights guaranteed under our Constitution don't exist BECAUSE of that Constitution. The Constitution only expresses, codifies, the natural rights that ALL human beings have by virtue of being human. US citizens or not, born in the U.S., born in Antarctica, born someday off-planet--same rights. 

The concept of natural rights guarantees that even if Trusk were to "terminate the Constitution," as he has threatened, our rights exist apart from that revered document. 


And let's not forget that when the American people spoke in November, most voters spoke AGAINST the policies advocated by Trusk and the MAGATs by voting for someome else.

*********

Nori, you seem to complain about "echoes" on the forum. Here's another of many chances I've offered you to respond with an alternative opinion and evidence to support it. What about our Constitution and the philosophical school that posits the existence of natural rights and natural laws do you disagree with? Why?

How, why, are the Enlightenment thinkers and the Founders who followed their philosophies wrong about rights that belong to all of us as humans rather than only to those of particular nationalities, races, religions or other "special" categories? Do you, yourself, believe that rights accrue only to those who carry American passports? Are there philosophers that influence your own thinking? 
 

Come on now, don't let the scumbag commie libs dominate the discourse!
 

********


04/18/25 08:25 AM #18136    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Nori, I agree with Jack. Anyone in the US is entitled to due process. When you say let the courts decide, you are letting Trump off the hook, as we already know that due process is esssntial to our democracy. This administration is thumbing their nose at due process. Also you point out all the things Trump promised when he got in. Well he promised on day one he would lower prices and his policies with tariffs will be a huge tax increase on the American people as high as 4 or 5,000 more to pay a year. You say he is concerned about the deficit but under his last administration he raised the deficit as will happen under this one because he will give the money he gets from the less fortunate to the rich.  And it's not just 2% of Trump voters unhappy with him.  In the most red districts in Florida the wins for Trumps chosen candidates were 15% less then when Trump won the presidency at 30% ahead. Former maga voters are angrily confronting their congressmen saying to do something. Love, Joanie


04/18/25 10:25 AM #18137    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Also Nori, re your comments, let the courts decide, the Trump Admin. is paying no attention to the courts unless they rule in their favor. This is another danger to democracy. You don't get to only listen to the courts when they rule in your favor. They ignored judges instructions to return the Venezuelans wrongly sent with no due process and Kilmer Garcia sent with no due process that the Trump admin even admitted was an error. So if they don't listen to the courts, that's a lawless administration. Love, Joanie


04/18/25 03:09 PM #18138    

 

Stephen Hatchett

Lets be very clear on one thing. The Constitutional protections, expecially the Bill of Rights, apply to PERSONS, not just citizens. Any human being within our borders has those rights and protections We are fast approaching a major constitutional crisis. The president who has sworn to uphold and protect the Constution is daily violating his oath and the Constitution. 

Years ago I took an oath the support and defend the Constition (when I was commisioned in the US Naval Reserve).  "I ___, do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion; and that I will well and faithfully discharge the duties of the office on which I am about to enter. So help me God."     That oath had no time limit. It has not run out.

Politics -- schmolitics.  My contempt for someone who violates such an oath has no bounds.


04/18/25 06:04 PM #18139    

 

Jack Mallory

As I believe I've said before, like Stephen I've been thinking recently about the oaths I swore when I enlisted and again when I was commissioned.

I was a good Kennedy/Cold war Democrat when I came of age. To support and defend the Constitution obviously referred to those dirty commies. Domestic enemies? Oh yeah, some kinda Civil War leftover.

In the years following my oath-taking, the political realities came into view. First, those foreign enemies I was sent off to fight posed zero threat to our Constitution. The VC/NVA were not going to charge ashore in San Diego and march east to seize Washington. 

But domestic enemies to the Constitution did exist, one already in Washington: Dick Nixon. Fortunately, the Republican Party of the time refused to let him seize the power he and his Plumbers were after.

Now, 50-some years later, the Constitution is again under attack. And again, it is a Republican president leading the charge (metaphorically, of course. Bone Spurs doesn't lead real charges!). But this time the Republican Party is today a much different institution than that of the last century. Trump's threats to the Constitution find no opposition among the MAGA Republicans. Like their President, they see terminating the Constitution as a means to power

Like Stephen, I believe the oath we swore has no time limit and will never run out. Trump and his supporters are domestic threats to, domestic enemies of, the Constitution. I won't carry an M16 again, but I will defend the Comstitution by any other means necessary. 

 


 


 


04/18/25 07:37 PM #18140    

 

Nora Skinker (Morton)

Joanie, I was citing the recent CNN poll assessing that only 2% of Trump voters regretted their vote & that larger percentages reported was a myth. 
Ironing out who gets due process will be made by courts, probably reaching a SCOTUS decision. That, in turn, should affect deportation policy, ultimately rendering our opinions moot. 
It seems Garcia had his due process before a judge back in 2011, but again, a determination will ultimately be made as to what his future holds. . "Any person within our borders"? Maybe it's time for some closer scrutiny defining constitutional interpretation. Birthright citizenship will be interesting as well. But thanks for the history lesson, guys! You're da best! 


04/19/25 05:40 AM #18141    

 

Jack Mallory

Sorry this is another forum echo, Nori, but as I asked you yesterday . . . 

"What about our Constitution and the philosophical school that posits the existence of natural rights and natural laws do you disagree with? Why?

"How, why, are the Enlightenment thinkers and the Founders who followed their philosophies wrong about rights that belong to all of us as humans rather than only to those of particular nationalities, races, religions or other "special" categories? Do you, yourself, believe that rights accrue only to those who carry American passports?"

 


04/19/25 02:56 PM #18142    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Nori, I think the 2% might be the hard core naga voters like yourself.  Otherwise if talking about other republican voters that percentage can't hold up because those angry republican constituents screaming to their reps to do something would be alternate facts. 
Nori, Trump is breaking the law. He doesn't get to pick which laws he will follow based on his preferences.  It's not how things play out. He has already done illegal things.  There is no push back as he hired only Donald Trump yes men and women in his administration. Pam Bondi is a disgrace. Love, Joanie


04/19/25 05:38 PM #18143    

 

Jack Mallory

Another look at controversial ideas, and how access to uncensored knowledge can add both to our national strength and the ability of our individual fighters to accomplish difficult and dangerous missions. The article makes it clear that the ignorance and fear of our leaders and our citizens weakens the nation. I think anyone interested in our national well-being would benefit from reading it. 

Warning: This article, like our Constitution, draws on old philosophies. It also focusses on Admiral James Stockdale--one of those people President Bone Spurs dislikes because he got captured. 

By Ryan Holiday

For the past four years, I have been delivering a series of lectures on the virtues of Stoicism to midshipmen at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, Md., and I was supposed to continue this on April 14 to the entire sophomore class on the theme of wisdom.

Roughly an hour before my talk was to begin, I received a call: Would I refrain from any mention in my remarks of the recent removal of 381 supposedly controversial books from the Nimitz library on campus? My slides had been sent up the chain of command at the school, which was now, as it was explained to me, extremely worried about reprisals if my talk appeared to flout Executive Order 14151 (“Ending Radical and Wasteful Government D.E.I. Programs and Preferencing.”)

When I declined, my lecture — as well as a planned speech before the Navy football team, with whom my books on Stoicism are popular was canceled. (The academy “made a schedule change that aligns with its mission of preparing midshipmen for careers of service,” a Navy spokesperson told Times Opinion. “The Naval Academy is an apolitical institution.”)

Had I been allowed to go ahead, this is the story I was going to tell the class:

In the fall of 1961, a young naval officer named James Stockdale, a graduate of the Naval Academy and future Medal of Honor recipient who went on to be a vice admiral, began a course at Stanford he had eagerly anticipated on Marxist theory. “We read no criticisms of Marxism,” he recounted later, “only primary sources. All year we read the works of Marx and Lenin.”

 

It might seem unusual that the Navy would send Stockdale, then a 36-year-old fighter pilot, to get a master’s degree in the social sciences, but he knew why he was there. Writing home to his parents that year, he reminded them of a lesson they had instilled in him, “You really can’t do well competing against something you don’t understand as well as something you can.”

 

At the time, Marxism was not just an abstract academic subject, but the ideological foundation of America’s greatest geopolitical enemy. The stakes were high. The Soviets were pushing a vision of global Communism and the conflict in Vietnam was flashing hot, the North Vietnamese fueled by a ruthless mix of dogma and revolutionary zeal. “Marxism” was, like today, also a culture war boogeyman used by politicians and demagogues.

Just a few short years after completing his studies, in September 1965, Stockdale was shot down over Thanh Hoa in North Vietnam, and as he parachuted into what he knew would be imprisonment and possibly death, his mind turned to the philosophy of Epictetus, which he had been introduced to by a professor at Stanford.

He would spend the next seven years in various states of solitary confinement and enduring brutal torture. His captors, sensing perhaps his knowledge as a pilot of the “Gulf of Tonkin incident,” a manufactured confrontation with North Vietnamese forces that led to greater U.S. involvement in Vietnam, sought desperately to break him. Stockdale drew on the Stoicism of Epictetus, but he also leveraged his knowledge of the practices and the mind-set of his oppressors.

 

“In Hanoi, I understood more about Marxist theory than my interrogator did,” Stockdale explained. “I was able to say to that interrogator, ‘That’s not what Lenin said; you’re a deviationist.’’’

In his writings and speeches after his return from the prison known as the Hanoi Hilton, Stockdale often referred to what he called “extortion environments,” which he used to describe his experience as a captive. He and his fellow P.O.W.s were asked to answer simple questions or perform seemingly innocuous tasks, like appear in videos, and if they declined, there would be consequences.

No one at the Naval Academy intimated any consequences for me, of course, but it felt extortionary all the same. I had to choose between my message or my continued welcome at an institution it has been one of the honors of my life with which to speak at.

As an author, I believe deeply in the power of books. As a bookstore owner in Texas, I have spoken up about book banning many times already. More important was the topic of my address: the virtue of wisdom.
 

As I explained repeatedly to my hosts, I had no interest in embarrassing anyone or discussing politics directly. I understand the immense pressures they are under, especially the military employees, and I did not want to cause them trouble. I did, however, feel it was essential to make the point that the pursuit of wisdom is impossible without engaging with (and challenging) uncomfortable ideas.

Seneca, the Stoic philosopher, used a military metaphor to make this very argument. We ought to read, he said, “like a spy in the enemy’s camp.” This is what Stockdale was doing when he studied Marxism on the Navy’s dime. It is what Seneca was doing when he read and liberally quoted from Epicurus, the head of a rival philosophical school.

The current administration is by no means unique in its desire to suppress ideas it doesn’t like or thinks dangerous. As I intended to explain to the midshipmen, there was considerable political pressure in the 1950s over what books were carried in the libraries of federal installations. Asked if he would ban communist books from American embassies, Eisenhower resisted.

“Generally speaking,” he told a reporter from The New York Herald Tribune at a news conference shortly after his inauguration, “my idea is that censorship and hiding solves nothing.” He explained that he wished more Americans had read Hitler and Stalin in the previous years, because it might have helped anticipate the oncoming threats. He concluded, “Let’s educate ourselves if we are going to run a free government.”

 

The men and women at the Naval Academy will go on to lead combat missions, to command aircraft carriers, to pilot nuclear-armed submarines and run enormous organizations. We will soon entrust them with incredible responsibilities and power. But we fear they’ll be hoodwinked or brainwashed by certain books?

Hitler’s “Mein Kampf” was not one of the books removed from the Naval Academy library, and as heinous as that book is, it should be accessible to scholars and students of history. However, this makes the removal of Maya Angelou’s “I Know Why the Caged Bird Sings” inexplicable. Whatever one thinks of D.E.I., we are not talking about the writings of external enemies here, but in many cases, art, serious scholarship and legitimate criticism of America’s past. One of the removed books is about Black soldiers in World War II, another is about how women killed in the Holocaust are portrayed, another is a reimagining of Kafka called “The Last White Man.” No one at any public institution should have to fear losing their job for pushing back on such an obvious overreach, let alone those tasked with defending our freedom. Yet here we are.

The decision by the academy’s leaders to not protest the original order — which I believe flies in the face of basic academic freedoms and common sense — has put them in the now even stickier position of trying to suppress criticism of that decision. “Compromises pile up when you’re in a pressure situation in the hands of a skilled extortionist,” Stockdale reminds us. I felt I could not, in good conscience, lecture these future leaders and warriors on the virtue of courage and doing the right thing, as I did in 2023 and 2024, and fold when asked not to mention such an egregious and fundamentally anti-wisdom course of action.

In many moments, many understandable moments, Stockdale had an opportunity to do the expedient thing as a P.O.W. He could have compromised. He could have obeyed. It would have saved him considerable pain, prevented the injuries that deprived him of full use of his leg for the rest of his life and perhaps even returned him home sooner to his family. He chose not to do that. He rejected the extortionary choice and stood on principle.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/19/opinion/naval-academy-speech-censorship.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

 

********

 

PS--I'm sure Admiral Stockdale used his knowledge of Epictetus and Stoic philosophy to give him strength during his captivity. But as someone who jumped out of airplanes on perfectly peaceful days, Holiday's claim that as Stockdale "parachuted into what he knew would be imprisonment and possibly death, his mind turned to the philosophy of Epictetus" is a bit hard to believe! My mind never turned to anything but the speed at which the ground was coming up!


04/20/25 07:07 PM #18144    

 

Stephen Hatchett

Jack, with any luck at all word about that Stockdale talk spread all over the academy in a day, maybe two.  Those men and women are smart and tuned in. They've read it on the web. And that talk is damn good -- and memorable.  I'm betting that talk's effec has been amplified by a large factor.

Maybe I'm too much of an optimist, but I think censoring a talk (and then seeing it) and pulling books from the libraries is not going to go down well with our cadets and midshipmen.  They are young, thoughtful, and COURAGEOUS. Lets see what happens.


04/21/25 06:59 AM #18145    

 

Jack Mallory

I hope the cadets, middies, etc. at the various academies take furious offense at the attempts to censor their access to knowledge. Their courage is often unquestionable in combat, though not as well known when it comes to political/moral issues. 
 

But here's a question without explicit political intent. What do any of you know about the social media app "Blue Sky"? I'm looking for something like Facebook, as I become increasingly suspicious of FB's political/moral effects on the world. (See Wynn-William's book Careless People). Don't know if I can give up FB, as it may be my only vehicle to keep contact with old students and others. But I'd be interested in finding out what Blue Sky has to offer. 

Any info gratefully accepted. 


04/21/25 01:58 PM #18146    

 

Jack Mallory

No politics:

 


04/21/25 02:25 PM #18147    

 

Jay Shackford

First they came after the communists

April 21, 2025

 

Someone much wiser than me issued this warning about the rise of Hitler’s Nazi Party in Germany:

 

“First they came after the communists.

“Then they came after the trade unionists, Gypsies and mentally disabled.

“Then they came after the Jews.

”Then they came after me, and nobody was left to resist.”

 

Don’t kid yourself.  Donald Trump, our new curse of “Agent Orange,” is using the exact same playbook as Hitler.  

 

First, he encircled himself a group of loyal, ass-kissing cabinet members and advisers who are grossly unqualified to serve as dog catcher much less as cabinet secretaries and they will follow Trump’s dictates wherever they may go. 

 

Then Trump paralyzed the Congress with fear and distrust.  Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska said it best when describing the fear of retaliation facing every Republican serving in the House and Senate, “We are all afraid” of Trump’s retribution — meaning that anyone who speaks out could be on the next flight to El Salvador.  

 

Then Trump attacked the Judiciary, perhaps disabling the two branches of government that could place some bumper guards on an out-of-control President and autocracy.  So much for checks and balances.  

 

After Congress and the courts,  Trump has gone after his political enemies and the entire federal workforce with his SS Storm Troopers led by Elon Musk. He has  discarded or reversed anything President Biden touched, including policies designed to fight climate change before time runs out, his efforts to rebuild our infrastructure and to expand  and improve our health care system for those most in need. And what about fighting future pandemics and providing medical research into deadly diseases?  Forget about that — all those scientists and  doctors have been fired or resigned in protest.  The institutional knowledge that takes generations to create has all but vanished.  

 

So now we have 800 cases of measles in more than a dozen states and elderly people are in danger of not receiving their Social Security checks or are unable to sign up for their benefits because of the DOGE layoffs and the chaos created in Social Security offices throughout the country. 

 

Then Elon brags at Trump’s latest cabinet meeting of saving $1.5 billion — a far cry from the $1 trillion Elon was promising about a two months ago, which Trump immediately doubled to $2 trillion when he discovered his tax cuts would cost $5 trillion not the $3 trillion he was expecting. All that pain and suffering among the tens of thousands of federal employees fired without cause for a mere $1.5 billion in savings.   Trump could have scaled back his tax cut for millionaires and billionaires  and saved 1,000 times that amount.  

 

It is worth noting that Trump has signed only five minor pieces of legislation since his inauguration about 90 days ago — the fewest of any president in almost 100 years. All his signatures have gone on executive orders, many of which are unconstitutional.   

 

Trump has also gone after our nation’s biggest law firms for his version of pro bono work and the nation’s most prestigious universities.  Bravo to Harvard, which responded:  “Fuck You!”

 

To make matters worse, Trump single-handedly trashed and tanked the  U.S. economy (what economists called the envy of the world when he took office) and pushed it to the brink of collapse with his crazy trade policies and federal layoffs.   

 

When the Japanese (Japan holds $1.1 trillion of the $28.6 trillion in outstanding U.S. Treasury securities) started selling their Treasury notes, Trump got scared (a good source said he actually pissed in his pants) when his Treasury Secretary warned that it could trigger a worldwide financial disaster similar to what nearly happened in 2008.  Reluctantly, he reduced and paused for 90 days his inflationary tariffs, except for the tariffs on China. Then he exempted certain electronics.  His policies literally change day-to-day and lead to more chaos and confusion — the sort of thing that disrupts markets and leads to recessions. 

 

(The top five foreign holders of U.S. Treasury Bonds are:  Japan $1.1 trillion; China $768 billion; Britain $765 billion; Luxembourg $424 billion and the Cayman Islands $419 billion. In the Cayman Island case, it perhaps reflects the desire for security among drug traffickers and money launderers.) 

 

Actually, many Trump observers believe the President is using the  threat of tariffs and the promise of exemptions as a way to bribe countries and industries.  Sounds like another way to stash cold hard cash in the pockets of his family and friends and reward his friends and punish his enemies.  That’s the Trump way and his brand.  With Trump, everything is transactional.   

 

What happened to the candidate who promised to bring down prices and end the Ukraine/Russia war on his first day?  Well, prices are still going up and now it looks like we are going to abandon Ukraine as well as our NATO allies, sending shivers down the spines of people living in Poland and other Baltic states. 

 

Now Arturo Suarez Trejo, 33, who was snatched by masked ICE agents from the streets and flown to a “black site” in El Salvador without any “due process” of law, has become the face of the resistance.  Where will it lead, who knows? But the President of El Salvador is $15 million richer for housing prisoners sent illegally by Trump without a fair hearing or any due process of law.    (Jack, is that $15 million in the budget?) What’s next: homegrown felons.  

 

Where will this all lead?  Well, brace yourself for another painful recession — with mortgage rates increasing to 9 or 10 percent or more, and inflation and unemployment reaching double digits as well thanks, in good part, to Trump’s bat-shit crazy tariffs.  That’s what we call “Stagflation.”   

 

If you doubt that we are heading for recession, consider this: business and consumer confidence is way down; the vast majority of Americans believe that Trump’s trade and economic policies are taking the country in the wrong direction; and the stock market is in turmoil. Consumer spending accounts for two thirds of the U.S. economy. When confidence is down, businesses and consumers pull back on their spending and investing plans. It has a snowball effect cascading down a mountain.  

 

We haven’t seen that mix of volatility since the late 1970s and early 1980s when FED Chairman Paul Volcker slammed on the monetary brakes to fight runaway inflation — policies that sent mortgage rates to 16% in 1981 and 1982.  At that time, it was the deepest, longest and most painful recession since the Great Depression.  Housing starts fell from a level of building 2 million units a year in 1977 and 1978 to fewer than one million per year in 1981 and 1982.  

 

With mortgage rates now at 7%,  large home builders are already buying down rates to slightly below 5% for the first two years to keep their sales moving — mainly to affluent buyers.  Most of them were not born when Paul Volcker slammed on the monetary brakes in October 1979 and launched his fight against inflation. So they have no memory of 16% mortgage rates in 1981 and 1982.   Now, anything over 6% is too high.  What happens if mortgage rates hit 10% or 12%?  

 

(At the National Association of Home Builders, we launched a two-by-four campaign in 1980 — where builders and suppliers would mail cut up 10 inch long 2x4s to the Federal Reserve with notes written right on the wood like this:  “Dear Mr. Volcker: I’m mad as hell and I’m not going to take it any more!”  Beaverton Lighting Supply located outside of Portland, OR. If I can figure out how to transmit a photo of this 2 x 4 sitting on my desk,  I will send it to you.)   

 

Thousands of pieces of 2 x 4s arrived at the Federal Reserve Board, and were stored in a large closet outside the FED’s main board meeting room.  Our association top leaders met regularly with Volcker back then in our unsuccessful efforts to get him to ease his policies.  I was friends with Volcker’s top PR guy and, at one of our meetings with Volcker,  he took me aside and showed me the closet where the 2 x 4s were stored and gave me the Oregon 2 by 4 mentioned above.  It was by far the best PR campaign we ever launched during my 36 year career at NAHB.  But thankfully, Volcker stuck to his guns and killed that deadly bout with inflation.  By 1983, inflation was falling and we were on our path to recovery.  But in the process, more than 40% of our small volume builders (guys who built fewer than 20 homes per year) went out of business.  

 

Where are we heading?  That’s hard to say but as I’m writing (about noon on Monday, April 21) the DOW is already down 1,000  points.  We can expect wild swings in the stock market in the weeks and months ahead. 

 

To stabilize the market, the President should first keep his mouth shut about replacing FED Chairman Jerome Powell.  All that crazy talk last week could have triggered another run of sales in the Treasury markets that would have threatened the world’s financial system.  Apparently, his Treasury Secretary talked him out of firing Powell before all hell broke loose in the Treasury markets. We went through that two weeks ago with Trump’s crazy tariff policies.  Let’s not do it again. 

 

In the long term, Trump will lose his narrow majority in the House and perhaps the Senate in the midterm elections.   Congress will regain the power of the purse.  Cabinet members will be called to testify on a regular basis before the appropriate committees.  Brace yourself for a huge turnover in Trump’s staff.  But, by that time, I’m afraid, it will be too late.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


04/21/25 04:04 PM #18148    

 

Jack Mallory

Joanie posted this quote from Pastor Martin Niemoller a week or so ago.   

"First they came for the socialists and I did not speak out-because I was not a socialist. Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out-because I was not a trade unionist.Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out-because I was not a Jew. Then they came for me- and there was no one left to speak for me."
 

Nori, sometimes echoes are resounding truths.

**********

But somebody better come for Hegseth pretty soon, because he's a walking security disaster. Maybe he's got room in his bathroom for more of Trump's Top Secret documents?


04/21/25 04:06 PM #18149    

 

Joanie Bender (Grosfeld)

Jay, great summary of the present state of affairs. I think there is hope because more and more people are making their voices heard. There were more delegations of US reps  to El Salvador for Kilmer Garcia.  Though the Trump admin has thumbed their noses at the court, I think the Texas truckloads of Venezualens were turned around after the Supreme Courts late night order . I hope the judges like Bozeman and others hold the Trumpees in criminal contempt for the times they ignored the court which is most of the time. It's heartening that Harvard and some others like some big law firms are saying no and encouraging Trump to jump in the lake. Bullies win when they cripple people with fear and thus gain power. I hope my optimism of democracy fighters in our country will turn the tide.  Love, Joanie ❤️ Jack, thanks for reposting that powerful quote. It's so true that none of us are safe if we don't speak up for others taken as then it's too late when they come for us as there is no one left to speak for us. 


04/21/25 05:36 PM #18150    

 

Jay Shackford

Silence is deadly!!!


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